摘要
近些年来主板和创业板中的热点板块,因过度预期和炒作,脱离实际经济发展速度,成为股灾的重要因素。选取了近几年人们关注的热点板块——锂电池板块,选取了2014—2015年其98家上市公司的财务指标,通过分析上市公司财务指标,建立Logistic回归模型,预测热点板块的股价现行走势,判断公司股价是否脱离实际业绩增长。最终的实证分析结果显示,无论是在新能源,还是在未来的充电汽车应用上,锂电池都有很大潜在价值。锂电池板块的上市公司财务指标大多数都是表现良好的,因此股价看多趋势是有经济基础支撑的,没有过度的炒作。
In. recent years, hot plates in. the main, board and GEM have insulated the from the actual economic development speed since excessiveexpectations and speculation.,which contributes to a stock market crash. This paper selects the concerned hot plate- lithium plate in. recentyears.where the 98 companies financial indicators are selected. Based on. the factor analysis of financial indicators, we have established Logistic Re-gression. model to predict hot plate of the current price trend and evaluate the company＇s share price whether has actual results to supports the growth. The final empirical analysis results show that lithium batteries considerably have a great potential value, whether in. new energy or re-chargeable car applications. Lithium battery plate of financial indicators of listed companies have the excellent performance for a great potential. Hence,its share price reflects actual status of listed companies support and there is n.o excessive speculation..
出处
《科技和产业》
2017年第1期5-8,38,共5页
Science Technology and Industry
