普京的选项:经济颓势下的外交强势

Putin's Choice:Strong Diplomacy in the Context of Declining Economy

发展与安全是普京治下俄罗斯国家利益的两大核心要件,而捍卫、发展国家利益,是俄罗斯旨在实现普京强国战略终极目标的基本着力点。普京总统曾经有过发展利益优先的实践,且成就斐然。2012年他重返克宫后,出于多重考虑,一改先前在安全利益上低调以求尽快放大发展利益的套路,转向直面美国的强势外交,以至于以不惜发展利益的暂时受损为代价。外交强势的后果可谓有得有失,俄罗斯仍然面临发展与安全的双重挑战,然而,当下面临矛盾的主要方面是在发展利益端。综观俄罗斯内外部局势的演进,普京政权对于发展利益和安全利益二者关系的摆布,很有可能将进入到一个向回归前者调整的新的拐点。

Development and securityarethe two core elements of Putin’s Russian national interests.To defense and developnational interests are the acting points for Putin to achieve ultimate goal.After his return to the Kremlin in 2012,for multiple reasons,Putin changed previous way of low-key on security interests in order to enlarge the interests of the development,turn to face to face with the American strong diplomacy at the expense of development interests temporarily were impaired.Although development and security challenges facing Russia,the main aspects of the contradiction is how to promote development.Throughout the evolution of internal and external situation,he likely to return to the former when Putin configured relationship between development and security.