哈萨克斯坦构建威权政治制度研究

Research on the Establishment of Authoritarian Political System in Kazakhstan

二十多年来,哈萨克斯坦在总统纳扎尔巴耶夫带领下实现了国家顺利转型和快速发展,取得了令世界各国关注的成就,也因此奠定了纳扎尔巴耶夫在哈萨克斯坦不可动摇的高度威望,建立了以纳扎尔巴耶夫为核心的威权政治体系。哈萨克斯坦民众甚至认为,没有纳扎尔巴耶夫就没有哈萨克斯坦的今天和未来。但随着纳扎尔巴耶夫年岁已高,未来权力交接问题已成为社会各界关注的话题,成为哈萨克斯坦国家发展的一大挑战。从哈萨克斯坦的现实情况看,很可能不会再出现一位类似于纳扎尔巴耶夫的"强人"总统,无论是总统,或是政府、议会,都不太可能再拥有像纳扎尔巴耶夫式的影响力。在这种局面下,哈萨克斯坦的国家政治结构走向成了关注的中心。

For over twenty years, under the leadership of President Nazarbayev, Kazakhstan has realized the country＇s successful transformation and rapid development, and has made achievements that caught the world＇s attention. In consequence, this also laid a foundation for Nazarbayev＇s unshakable supreme prestige in Kazakhstan and established authoritarian political system with Nazarbayev as the core. The general public in Kazakhstan even believes that Kazakhstan＇s present achievements or the country＇s future would not be achieved without Nazarbayev. Yet, as Nazarbayev grows senior in age, the power transition in the future has been a topic for all walks of life and a great challenge to Kazakhstan＇s national development. In view of the actual conditions in Kazakhstan, it is quite impossible that there will be another ＂powerful＂ president similar to Nazarbayev. None of the president, government or parliament is likely to possess Nazarbayev-like influence. Under this circumstance, the trend of Kazakhstan＇s national political structure becomes focus of attention.