基于自贸区的福建国际物流需求预测研究

The Forecast of Fujian International Logistics Demand based on Free Trade Zone

在福建自由贸易试验区建设的背景下,以福建省1996-2015年度数据为基础,采用多元线性回归分析,通过对研究指标的选取建立多元线性回归方程,并对多元线性回归模型进行统计性检验,结果表明:多元线性回归模型符合实际,可以对福建省国际物流货运量进行预测,对福建自由贸易试验区背景下福建国际物流发展有一定的指导作用。

Under the background of Fujian Free Trade Zone, based on the data from 1996 to 2015 of Fujian Province, through Muhivariate Linear Regression ,this paper selected appropriate research indicators and established multiple linear regression mod- els to conduct statistical test. The result showed that the models could forecast the volume of freight transport of the international logistics ,which helped to develop Fujian＇ s international logistics under the background of Fujian Free Trade Zone.