地方政府支出的产业结构升级效应研究——基于空间计量模型的分析

Study on the Effect of Industrial Structure Upgrading of Local Government Expenditure:Analysis Based on Spatial Econometric Model

从空间计量经济学视角,实证分析地方政府支出规模及结构对我国产业结构升级的影响效应。结果发现,地方政府支出规模、生产性及一般性支出对产业结构升级有显著的正向空间溢出效应,且产生的空间间接效应要小于直接效应;而社会性支出对产业结构升级的空间影响效应不明显。提出应统筹省、直辖市政府财政支出,充分发挥地方政府支出对产业结构升级的引导作用;应加大对教育、科技等方面的投入,以加速推进我国产业结构优化升级。

From the perspective of spatial econometrics, this paper analyzes the influence of local government expenditure scale and structure on the spatial effect of industrial structure upgrading in China. We found that ,the local government expendi- ture scale ,production and general expenses have significant positive spatial spillover effect to the industrial structure upgrading, and it produced spatially indirect effect is less than that of direct effect; But social expenditure space impact on the upgrading of industrial structure is not obvious. Should co-ordinate the local government expenditure, give full play to the local government spending to guide the industrial structure upgrading;should increase investment in education ,science and technology ,ere ,to ac- celerate China＇s industrial structure upgrading.