我国人口老龄化对文化消费影响的实证分析——来自中国省际面板数据的检验

An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of China's Population Aging on Cultural Consumption: Examination of Provincial Panel Data from China

扩大文化消费是经济实现扩内需、调结构的重要着力点,目前中国人口老龄化趋势日益凸显,这无疑将对产业结构调整产生重大影响。采用1998—2012年中国省际面板数据,通过SYS-GMM方法实证分析人口老龄化对文化消费的影响。结果显示,老龄化有利于文化消费水平的提高,在控制了其他经济、制度、人口变量后,这一结果仍然稳健有效。

The expansion of cultural consumption is an important focus of economic expansion of domestic demand and structure adjustment. At present, China＇s aging trend is becoming increasingly prominent,which will undoubtedly have a signifi- cant impact on the adjustment of industrial structure. This paper empirically analyses the impact of population aging on cultural consumption on the basis of 1998--2012 China provincial panel data by the SYS-GMM method. The results show that aging is conducive to the improvement of the level of cultural consumption, which are also robust and effective after controlling other var- iables, such as economic indicators, systems and population.