地方财政支农支出提升农业生产抗灾能力研究——基于中国省际面板数据的实证检验

Research on Local Fiscal Expenditure for Agriculture Enhance the Resilience of Agricultural Production——Evidences from China's Provincial Panel Data

财政支农作为现代农业生产的重要资金来源渠道,基于农业生产抗灾能力的视角探究了地方财政支出对农业灾害成灾率的影响效应,统计中国1997-2013年省际面板数据进行实证检验,通过面板固定效应回归模型、面板方差分解和脉冲响应函数分析,结果发现:地方财政支出的增加能够显著地降低农业生产的成灾比例,提升农业生产的抗灾能力,但地方财政支出对农业生产抗灾能力的影响存在显著的区域异质性,并基于研究结论提出相应政策启示。

Financial support for agriculture is an important source of funds for modem agricultural production. Based on the perspective of the resilience of agricultural production and provincial panel data of China from 1997 to 2013 for empirical test, and through panel fixed effect regression model, panel variance decomposition and impulse response function analysis, we explore the effect of local fiscal expenditure on agricultural disaster rate. The re- search shows that increase of local fiscal expenditure can significantly reduce the proportion of occurrence of agricul- tural production, and enhance the resilience of agricultural production, but the effect of fiscal expenditure on disaster resistance ability of agricultural production has pronounced regional heterogeneity. Finally, we put forward the corresponding policy based on research findings.