基于M-V舰载机着舰风险的动态决策方法研究

Study on dynamic multi-attribute decision of aircraft landing risk based on mean and variance

为了降低舰载机着舰风险、提高飞行员和航母舰载机系统的安全性,提出基于均值-方差的舰载机着舰风险评估的动态多属性决策方法.属性值以三角模糊数形式给出,通过可能度和排序公式得到排序向量;依据各时刻排序值对期望排序产生的排序波动,进行条件分析,获得各组方案的排序结果.最后,通过对舰载机着舰风险实例的评测,证实了本文提出的决策方法的可行性.

To reduce the risk of aircraft landing and improve the safety of pilots and aircraft carrier system,this paper proposed a dynamic multi- attribute decision making method of aircraft landing risk based on mean value and variance. Attribute values were provided in the form of triangular fuzzy number. According to calculations of possibility degree and ordering vector,the difference between expected value and each ordering value,then the ordering result was obtained by analyzing. The evaluation of aircraft landing risk examples proved the feasibility of the proposed decision making method.