江西省经济增长与碳排放的脱钩分析--基于脱钩分解理论

Decoupling Analysis of Economic Growth and Carbon Emission in Jiangxi Province: Based on the Theory of Decoupling Decomposition

基于Tapio脱钩模型对江西省经济增长与二氧化碳的脱钩关系进行定量分析,结果表明:江西省经济增长与碳排放存在不稳定的脱钩关系,要实现经济增长与碳排放的脱钩还有很长的路要走。链式因果分解结果显示,出现这一情况的主要原因是江西省能源碳强度脱钩不理想和工业产业占地区生产总值的比重过大。LMDI分解方法结果表明,能源强度效应和城市人均产出效应对实现碳排放的脱钩影响最为显著。

Applying Tapio decoupling model of Jiangxi province economic growth and the decoupling relationship between carbon dioxide gas to the quantitative analysis,it shows that there is an unsteady decoupling relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions in Jiangxi Province,and it still needs a long way to realize the decoupling between economic growth and carbon emission.By using decoupling chain causal decomposition,the reasons for this situation is mainly energy carbon intensity decoupling is not ideal and industrial industry accounted for the proportion of GDP is too large.Carbon emissions by LMDI decomposition method of decomposition for Jiangxi shows that energy intensity effect and urban per capita output effect the most significant impact on carbon emissions of decoupling.