摘要
2016年,国内棉花产量下滑,进口量减少,棉纱进口量缩减,纺织品服装出口继续下滑,储备棉投放成交率高。在这样的供需格局下,国内棉价先跌后涨,且涨幅明显,国际棉价震荡上行。展望2017年,国内棉花种植面积将趋于稳定,储备棉投放将左右市场走势,棉纱进口可能增加,供需大格局较为宽松,国内棉价将稳中下行。
In 2016, the domestic cotton production decreased, the cotton imports and cotton yarn imports dropped, the textiles and clothing exports continued decreasing, and the transaction of cotton reserves was in a high rate. Under the pattern of supply and demand, the price of cotton raised sharply after a first fall in domestic market, and the international cotton price fluctuated to a high level. Looking ahead for 2017, the domestic cotton planting area will stabilize, the supply of cotton reserves will be the major factor influencing domestic market, the cotton yam imports may rise, and the domestic cotton price may be stable with a slight decline under the loose pattern of supply and demand in general.
作者
李想
郭新宇
Li Xiang Guo Xinyu(Information Center, Ministry of Agriculture, Beijing 100125 Chinese Academy of Agricultural Engineering, Beijing 100125)
出处
《农业展望》
2016年第12期4-7,共4页
Agricultural Outlook
关键词
棉花市场
价格
产量
进口
出口
棉纱
储备棉
cotton market
price
production
import
export
cotton yam
cotton reserve
