基于尖点突变模型的保税区向自由贸易区演化分析

Analysis of Evolution of Bonded Area to Free Trade Zone Based on Cusp Catastrophic Model

综合考虑影响保税区向自由贸易区演化的多种因素,建立评价指标体系及模型对保税区的演化效力和综合效率进行评价;将保税区的演化效力和综合效率作为控制变量,演化状态作为状态变量,建立尖点突变模型;以我国12个主要保税区实际数据对模型进行拟合并分析尖点突变的规律.实验结果验证了保税区向自由贸易区的尖点突变机制.

Considering the factors that will affect the evolution of bonded area to free trade zone,it establishes the evaluation indexes and models to evaluate the evolution effectiveness and comprehensive efficiency.A cusp catastrophic model is proposed,evolution effectiveness and comprehensive efficiency are control variables and state of evolution is state variable.An empirical analysis is given based on the actual date of 12 bonded areas in china to fit the model and analysis the cusp catastrophic.The results verify the mechanism of cusp catastrophic.