道路运输现代化评价结构模型及其测算

Evaluation model and measurement of road transportation modernization

为实现道路运输业发展,充分满足社会经济发展的需求,从道路运输现代化的内涵出发,对道路运输现代化的评价问题进行了研究,提出了道路运输现代化的二维结构,基于"系统要素-产业运行"视角设计道路运输现代化的评价结构框架,建立了道路运输现代化评价结构模型,并从状态性评价和诊断性评价两个方面,以宁波市道路客运现代化水平为例,分析了道路运输现代化的总体水平和障碍机制因素。研究认为,宁波市道路客运现代化总体水平呈不断上升的发展趋势,但系统要素和产业运行各自维度下均存在部分短板指标,产业运行落后于系统要素的发展,应从产业运行结构调整、行业规范和绩效提升方面进行改进;道路运输现代化评价结构模型揭示了道路运输各子系统之间的内在联系及作用机理,为全面评价道路运输现代化提供了有效支撑;评价方法能准确反映道路运输现代化的发展状态,及时诊断障碍因素和不协调机制,为行业发展提供有效的决策支持。

In order to realize development of road transportation and fully meet the needs of social and economic development, this paper studied the evaluation problems of road transportation modernization from the perspective of its connotation and proposed the two-dimensional structure of road transportation modernization. From the perspective of ＂system elements-industrial operation＂, this paper designed the evaluation framework of road transportation modernization and established an evaluation model. Taking modernization level of road passenger transportation in Ningbo as an example, this paper analyzed its general level and barrier mechanism from state evaluation and diagnostic evaluation. The results show that the overall level of road passenger transport modernization in Ningbo keeps rising. However, there are some shortcomings under the dimension of system elements and industrial operation. For the development of industrial operation behind system elements, the adjustment of industrial structure, industrial norms and performance improvement should be enhanced. The evaluation mode of road transportation modernization reveals the internal relations and mechanism of road transportation subsystems which provides an effective support for the comprehensive evaluation of road transportation modernization. The evaluation method can accurately reflect the development status of road transportation modernization, and timely diagnose the obstacle factors and uncoordinated mechanism so as to provide effective decision support for the development of the industry.