吉林省农业碳排放与经济增长脱钩关系实证分析

Empirical analysis on decoupling relationship between agricultural carbon emissions and economic growth in Jilin Province

农业经济增长引起的农业碳排放问题已引起学术界的广泛关注。本文以吉林省1999~2014年农业生产资料投入数据为基础,利用弹性脱钩方法,对吉林省农业碳排放与经济增长的脱钩关系进行分析。结果表明,从时间上看,16年来吉林省农业碳排放总量年均增长率为4.28%,化肥施用是农业碳排放的主要来源,农药的碳排放增长速度最快。从脱钩分析来看,农业碳排放与经济增长之间以弱脱钩为主要特征。

Agricultural carbon emissions caused by agricultural economic growth have attracted wide attention.Based on the input data of agricultural means of production from 1999 to 2014in Jilin province,decoupling relationship between agricultural carbon emissions and economic growth was analyzed by using elastic decoupling method.The results indicate that average annual growth rate of total agricultural carbon emissions is 4.28%from 1999 to 2014,chemical fertilizer application is the main source,and the growth rate of pesticides carbon emissions is the fastest.Meanwhile,weak decoupling is the main characteristic between agricultural carbon emissions and economic growth.