印度政府在南海问题上的新动向及其前景

New Tendency and Prospect of Indian Government's Policies on the South China Sea Dispute

2014年5月莫迪政府上台以来,印度在南海问题上涉入更深,表现得更为"大胆",一定程度上突破了辛格政府时期的政策。论文将对莫迪政府的南海政策新动向进行阐述,这一动向是印度外交政策整体倾向"亲美日"的表现,也是印度"向东干"政策的实际需要,同时也与当前中印关系出现的"新问题"存在关联。2016年年初以来,印度在南海问题上的立场发生过数次摇摆,间接地说明印度只是将南海问题作为与中国"讨价还价"的筹码。因此,只要管控并稳定好中印关系的发展大局,就能促使印度在南海问题上有所克制,不至于同美日采取一致立场。

Since Narendra Modi took office in May 2014, India has played a bigger role in South China Sea dispute, breaking out of its conventional position, to some extent. The paper will try to explore India＇s new policy on South China Sea dispute, which demonstrates Modi＇s pro-western foreign policy and ＂act east policy＂. In 2016, India has been a swinging country on South China Sea dispute, and has changed its policy swiftly. It means that India takes South China Sea dispute as a lever to bargain with China. Therefore, if China wants India to maintain a restrained profile on South China Sea dispute, it has try to manage and stabilize the overall development of Sino-Indian relations.