皖韩贸易与安徽经济增长关系的实证分析——基于中韩自贸区背景下的分析

An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between Anhui-South Korea Trade and Economic Growth of Anhui——Analysis Based on the Background of China-South Korea Free Trade Area

在中韩建交20多年两国贸易迅速发展的背景下,安徽省与韩国之间的进出口贸易总额在各年份与上年比较都趋向于上升走向,但是个别年份除外。2015年6月1日,在中韩双方签订了中韩自贸协定之后必将促进双方在货物、服务贸易及投资合作等领域的进一步发展。采用了安徽省1997~2014年份的数据作为样本,运用计量方法验证安徽省与韩国进出口与安徽省GDP关系,研究结果表明皖韩进出口与安徽省GDP之间存在协整关系,最后根据分析结果提出几点建议。

In the context of more than 20 years of diplomatic relations between China and South Korea, trade between the two countries has developed rapidly. The total import and export trade between Anhui and South Korea has shown an upward trend, except for individual years. With the signing of China and South Korea free trade agreement on June 1, 2015, it will further promote the development of China and South Korea in goods, services, trade and investment cooperation and so on. This paper selects the relevant data from 1997 to 2014 in Anhui Province as samples, by using the measurement method to verify the relationship between the import and export volume of Anhui Province to South Korea and the GDP of Anhui Province. The results of data analysis show that there is cointegration relationship between the two types of data. Finally, some suggestions are given according to the analysis results.