转移支付、产业结构与碳排放——基于内生增长的理论和实证分析

Transfer Payment,Industrial Structure and Carbon Emission——Theoretical and Empirical Study Based on Endogenous Growth

通过将环境质量作为一个生产要素引入到生产函数,构建出包含转移支付和环境质量的内生增长模型,从理论层面上分析了转移支付对环境质量的影响;基于2003—2013年中国30个省区市的省级面板,考察了我国转移支付水平对碳排放的影响。研究结果表明:我国转移支付水平与碳排放显著正相关;我国转移支付通过影响产业结构的变动导致碳排放的加剧,这种中介效应占转移支付与碳排放总效应的17.70%.;转移支付与碳排放正强度相关系数呈现西部最高、中部次之、东部最低的格局。

Environmental quality was introduced into production function as a factor of production to set up an engogenous growth model including transfer payment and environmental quality,and then the impact of transfer payment on environmental quality was analyzed theoretically.Based on China＇s provincial panel data of 30 provinces and autonomous regions from 2003 to 2013,the effect of China＇s transfer payment level on carbon emission was explored.The results showed that that there is significantly positive relationship between transfer payment level and carbon emission,the impact of China＇s transfer payment on carbon emission is exerted by the change of industrial structure,whose mediating effect accounts for 17.70%,and Western China has the strongest positive correlation coefficient of transfer payment and carbon emission,followed by Central China and Eastern China.