话语权、能源博弈和国际体系变迁

The Discourse Right, Energy Competition and the Changing International System

国际能源竞争一直伴随着整个国际体系的演进历史。世界能源供应链是否连续而完整、价格的波动能否控制在一个合理的范围内等能源安全问题不仅关乎着国际能源安全体系未来的发展态势,也关乎着能源消费大国和生产大国的切身利益。纵观工业化时代后的国际关系史,对能源的争夺、开发、利用和占有一直是国际体系变迁的主要脉络,英、美这两个国际体系的霸主同时也处于能源安全体系的中心地位。当前,全球能源资源供需基本上总体平衡,历经21世纪前十年油气投资发展和美国页岩油气革命,全球政治经济格局发生了变化。目前,中国等新兴经济体步入经济转型调整期,既要注重改善能源安全环境,又要掌握全球治理中的制度性权力。

International energy competition has been accompanied by the evolution of the entire international system. Energy security issues, such as whether the world energy supply chain is continuous and complete and whether the price fluctuations can be controlled within a reasonable range, not only concerns the future development trend of the international energy security system, but also has an effect on the vital interests of countries with huge energy consumption and production. Throughout the history of international relations, the competition for, and exploration, utilization and possession of energy have been the main line of developments of the international system. The US and the UK, the two dominating powers of the international systems, are also at the center of the energy security system. At present, the global energy resources supply and demand is basically balanced as a whole, after the oil and gas investment growth in the first decade of the 21st century and the American shale oil and gas revolution, the global political and economic situation has changed. At present, China and other emerging economies enter into the economic restructuring period, it is necessary to focus on improving the energy security environment, and also to grip the institutional power in global governance.