中国未来锑资源需求预测

The future demand of antimony in China

本文总结了全球锑资源消费历史,包括锑消费量及消费结构的历史变化。在此基础上,通过分析判断中国锑资源各消费领域未来需求形势,预测未来中国锑资源需求变化。通过分析阻燃剂行业未来发展趋势以及对锑的需求影响情况,预测了2017~2030年阻燃剂领域中国锑需求量变化;通过分析铅酸蓄电池行业发展趋势及对锑的需求影响情况,预测了2017~2030年铅酸蓄电池领域中国锑需求量变化;而对于催化剂、玻璃陶瓷及其他领域的锑需求量,则是给出了预测变化范围。在此基础上,预测了2017~2030年中国锑需求总量的变化情况,预计2025年中国锑资源年需求总量将达到顶峰,约为7.70万t。

This paper had summarized the consumption history of antimony in the world,involving the consumption and consumption structure.By analyzing the consumption trend of antimony in different consumption fields in the future,the demand of antimony in China in the following years had been predicted.By analyzing the developing trend of fire retardant field and the relevant demand variation of antimony,the demand of antimony in 2017-2030had been evaluated in hypothesis conditions.By analyzing the developing trend of lead-acid battery and the relevant demand variation of antimony,the demand of antimony in 2017-2030had been evaluated in hypothesis conditions.As for other consumption fields such as catalyst and glass ceramic,the range of demand had been evaluated.Finally,the annual demand of antimony in China in 2017-2030had been predicted.In 2025,the annual demand of antimony in China may come to the top,approximately 77 thousands tons.