基于菲德模型的江苏省高新技术产业发展状况与经济发展水平关系研究

The Research about the Relation Between Development of High and new Technology Industries and Economic Growth in Jiangsu Province Based on the Feder Model

以江苏省2002—2013年高新技术产业产值与经济整体发展水平的面板数据为研究对象,运用ADF单位根检验和格兰杰因果关系检验对相关数据进行分析,验证出两者存在因果关系;接着参考菲德模型拟定方程,分析江苏省高新技术产业对经济增长的直接影响与外溢效应。结果表明,江苏省高新技术产业对于经济增长整体的影响与对其他产业的外溢效应都不是很显著,江苏省还应在高新技术产业方面投入更多资金,以加强该产业对整体经济的促进作用。

Based on high and new technology industries＇ output value and GDP of Jiangsu province during 2002--2013, the paper will give the verification about whether there is a causalities between these two factors by using ADF（ Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test ）and Granger causality test.And then, I will analyse the total effects and overflowing effects caused by h＆n technology industries to the economic growth with Feder model.More fund should he put into this industry to enhance its influence on the total economy.