中国与其他金砖国家果蔬贸易发展研究——基于贸易比较优势、互补性和增长潜力的实证分析

Trade development of fruits and vegetables in China and other BRICS countries:an empirical analysis based on trade comparative advantage,complementarity and growth potential

2000年以来,中国与其他金砖国家果蔬贸易整体迅速发展,其他金砖国家成为中国果蔬重要的出口目的地和新兴进口来源市场。本研究以2000—2015年数据为基础,描述了中国与其他金砖国家果蔬贸易概况,深入分析了金砖国家间果蔬贸易的比较优势、互补性和未来增长潜力。研究发现:中国、南非的果蔬均具有出口比较优势,其中中国的蔬菜和南非的水果出口优势最为明显;就互补性而言,中国果蔬出口与印度进口互补性最强,中国果蔬进口与南非出口互补性最强;就增长潜力来看,中国果蔬出口与巴西进口的增长潜力最大。

The trade of fruits and vegetables in China and other BRICS countries has developed rapidly since 2000,and other BRICS countries have become one of China's important export destinations of fruits and vegetables and emerging import market.Based on the data from 2000 to 2015,this study analyzes the situation,comparative advantage,complementarity and growth potential of fruits and vegetables trade in China and other BRICS countries.The results showed that fruits and vegetables in China and South Africa have export comparative advantage,in which export advantage of China's vegetables and South Africa's fruits was the most obvious respectively.In terms of complementarity,the exports of China's fruits and vegetables have the strongest complementarity with India,and the imports of China's fruits and vegetables have the strongest complementarity with South Africa.On the growth potential,the exports of China's fruits and vegetables have largest growth potential with Brazi.