中国经济升级版的评价指标体系构建、测度与阶段甄别

The Index System of the Evaluation,Measurement and Stage of the Upgrading of Chinese Economy

改革开放以来,中国经济取得了举世瞩目的成绩,而随之引起的弊端也日益凸显,经济转型和经济升级成为刻不容缓的任务之一。本文选取1995~2014年中国20年间的统计数据,利用层次分析法,从人民幸福感程度、结构优化程度、可持续发展能力、外向型经济、创新驱动能力方面考察中国经济阶段性特征,再运用系统聚类分析,进一步探索出中国在这20年间历经的经济升级状况及发展趋势,最后提出中国经济再次升级的动力源泉在于提高民生保障水平、科技创新、绿色产业、发展服务业、构建全方位开放新格局。

Since the reform and opening up, Chinese economy has achieved remarkable results, but disadvantages have become in- creasingly prominent, economic transformation and upgrading has become an urgent task. The paper conducts an empirical study by the Analytic Hierarchy Process （AHP） based on Chinese data from 1995 to 2014, which study Chinese economic features of each stage from the degree of People＇s sense of happiness, the degree of structural optimization, sustainable development capability, export- oriented e- conomy and innovation - driven capability, then further explore chinese economic upgrade and trends during 20 years based on cluster anal- ysis. Finally, the motivation of Chinese economy re - upgrade is to improve the livelihood security level, propose technological innovation, promote the green industry, develop the service industry and build all- rotmd opening new pattern.