钢材间接出口的测算方法和实证检验

Measurement Method and Empirical Test of Indirect Trade of Steel

钢材的间接贸易为隐含在耗钢产品的贸易中,间接发生的钢材贸易。钢材是基础性工业品,同时中国是耗钢产品的出口大国,钢材间接出口规模较大。与国际钢铁协会的测算方法不同,本文运用投入产出法,引入直接消耗系数,测度我国钢材的间接贸易出口量,并对照国内外相关研究成果进行实证检验。基于投入产出法测算间接出口,具有逻辑可行、结果可信且方法简便的特点,是研究钢材间接贸易的一种补充方法。纳入间接出口后,钢材真实出口额将大幅提升。发展钢材的间接出口,即可缓解钢材国内产能过剩,又可绕开钢材国外贸易壁垒。

Indirect trade of steel is implicit in the trade of steel products. Steel is a basic industrial product. Chinais the major exporter of steel, and indirect export is huge.Different from the World Steel Association, wemeasurethe indi- rect export volume of steel in our country using the input-output method and di- rect consumption coefficient,and make empirical test according to the relevant re- search results at home and abroad. Input-output method is a supplementary meth- od to study the indirect trade of steel, which is logically feasible, reliable and easy to use.Including indirect exportin export statistics, the volume of steel export will largely increase. To develop indirect exports of steel, we could not only ease domestic overcapacity, but also bypass the trade barriers.