摘要
文章根据UN COMTRADE相关数据,从贸易规模、产品结构和市场分布三方面对巴西农产品出口贸易状况进行分析,并运用恒定市场份额模型,对巴西农产品出口波动的影响因素进行了研究。结果表明:巴西农产品出口波动主要取决于世界农产品市场需求的变动,出口竞争优势特别是整体出口竞争优势是促进巴西农产品出口增长的重要因素,而出口产品结构对出口波动的影响相对较小。
Based on the data from UN COMTRADE, this paper analyzes the present situation of the Brazilian agricultural export from three aspects： trade scale, product structure and market distribution. And Constant Market Share model is applied to explore the influencing factors of ehanges of Brazilian agricultural exports. The results show that the fluctuation of agricultural exports in Brazil mainly stems from the change of world market demand, and competitive advantage in exports, especially the overall export＇s competitive advantage, is an important factor in promoting export growth. However, the product structure of exports has a relatively small impact on the fluctuation.
作者
刘春鹏
肖海峰
LIU Chun-peng XIAO Hai-feng
出处
《国际经贸探索》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第3期4-13,共10页
International Economics and Trade Research
基金
农业部和财政部项目(CARS-40-20)
关键词
巴西
农产品
出口波动
恒定市场份额模型
Brazil
agricultural products
export fluctuation
Constant Market Share model
