“一带一路”海外承包工程非传统安全风险分析——以21世纪海上丝绸之路为例

Non-traditional Security Risk Analysis of the One Belt and One Road Overseas Contract Engineering——Case Study of Twenty-first Century Maritime Silk Road

伴随"一带一路"战略的实施,中国境外工程项目迅速增多,建设规模越来越大,但同时也面临日益突出的非传统安全风险。非传统安全事件的发生,是孕灾环境中致灾因子作用于承灾体的过程。运用灾害系统理论构造非传统安全风险发生系统,结合中国企业在"一带一路"沿线各国承包工程的实际情况,建立"一带一路"沿线各国非传统安全风险识别库。绘制"21世纪海上丝绸之路"节点国家风险层级表,并从工程承包商的角度,描述各节点国家非传统安全风险现状,总结主要风险源,提出在21世纪海上丝绸之路相关国家开展工程承包的风险管理建议,为在"一带一路"沿线各国承包工程项目的公司提供风险分析参考依据。

With the implementation of the ＂one belt and one road＂ strategy,the number and scale of Chinese overseas projects increased rapidly,but it also faces an increasingly prominent non-traditional security risk. Non-traditional security event is a destruction process of the disaster causing factors in disaster environment. Using the disaster system theory,the non-traditional security risk system is formed,and combining the actual project situation along the One Belt and One Road counties,the non-traditional security risk identification database of One Belt and One Road counties is established. This study draws the twenty-first Century Maritime Silk Road node national risk hierarchy table,describes non-traditional security risk status and summarizes the main risk sources of each node state from the viewpoint of a contractor,so as to put forward risk management suggestions for twenty-first Century Maritime Silk Road related countries,as well as to provide national project companies reference for risk analysis in the ＂One Belt and One Road＂ countries.