特朗普就任后的东北亚大国论衡

On the Balance of Great Powers in Northeast Asia After Trump Took Office

东北亚是中俄日美大国发展、竞争、角逐的焦点。东北亚处在美国超级大国主导、中日俄三强并存的态势下,中国与美日和俄罗斯关系,俄罗斯与美国关系,日本与俄罗斯关系,本质上是互为关联的关系。这种关联之间如何维持平衡,作为发展中大国的中国,与守成大国的美国在共同发展的矛盾中,俄罗斯作为一种特殊意义的大国是平衡东北亚大国关系的重要因素。就东北亚地缘政治结构的变化及发展趋势,从权力结构、制度进程、战略观念的三元变化进行分析,可以得出权力结构单级弱化、区域制度缓慢构建、战略观念多疑上升的结论。中国则顺应世界发展大趋势,积极求同化异,不同而和,贡献中国智慧和力量,是引领东北亚、促和平谋发展的正能量。

Northeast Asia is the focus of the development and competition of China, Russia, Japan and the United States. Northeast Asia is dominated by the great power of the United States and under the situation of coexistence of China, Japan, and Russia. The relations between Chinese, Japan and Russia, the relations between Russia and the United States, and the relations between Japan and Russia, are essentially interlinked. As a special power, Russia is an important factor to balance the relations between great powers in Northeast Asia. Through the analysis of power structure, process of the system, and strategic concept, we can made a conclusion that there exist the structure of single stage slow weakening, the regional system construction, the strategic idea of suspicious rising. Therefore, China, as positive energy, should conform to the trend of world development, seek to assimilate different, and contribute to Chinese wisdom and strength for promoting peace and seeking de- velopment.