宁波港港口吞吐量对宁波经济影响的实证分析

本文采用1978-2009年的数据,建立计量模型,主要运用时间序列方法中的平稳性检验和协整分析,并在此基础上建立向量误差修正模型和方差分解技术,对宁波港港口吞吐量与宁波经济之间的关系进行实证研究,以期得出促进宁波经济发展的相关政策建议。

This article uses 1978-2009 year data, establishes the measurement model, in the main time taken to deliver sequence method's stable examination harmonious cooperation entire analysis, and based on this establishes the vector error correction model and the variance decomposition technology, conducts the empirical study to between the Ningbo Port harbor transload and the Ningbo economy's relations, obtains by the time promotes the Ningbo economic development related policy suggestion.