摘要
基于湖北省1995—2014年环境统计数据和经济增长数据,构建时间序列的VAR模型,研究结果发现:(1)湖北省近年来工业布局的改善有效减轻了环境污染,但工业固体废弃物污染治理并不理想;(2)经济增长与环境污染的关系是否符合环境库兹涅茨"倒U型"曲线取决于选取的污染指标类型;(3)湖北省经济增长是以环境污染为代价的,而环境污染又会抑制经济增长,其中起主要抑制作用的是工业废气和工业固体的排放;(4)经济增长存在明显的正反馈现象,随着时间推移,这种反馈作用不断减小。
Based on the statistic data of the environmental pollution and the economic growth in Hubei in 1995--2014, we established a VAR model, which showed that the improvement of industrial layout in Hubei has indeed eased the environmental pollution in recent years, but the industrial solid wastes control is not satisfied. Whether the relation between the economic growth and the environmental pollution is in line with the Environmental Kuznets "inverted U" curve depends on the selection of environmental pollution indicators. Environmental Kuznets "inverted U" curve is only established based on the industrial smoke dust emission and economic growth; The economic growth in Hubei is at the cost of environmental pollution, the main inhibitory effect is industrial waste gas discharges and industrial solid wastes; There is a obviously positive feedback in economic growth, as time goes on, this effect has been reduced gradually.
出处
《鸡西大学学报(综合版)》
2017年第3期37-42,共6页
JOurnal of Jixi University:comprehensive Edition