山东省市域金融发展与经济增长协调关系的特征研究

Study on the characters of coordinated relationship between financial development and economic growth of cities in Shandong province

基于山东省17城市2001—2012年面板数据,应用耦合模型,对山东省金融主体—经济增长、金融环境—经济增长两类二元系统以及金融主体—金融环境—经济增长三系统协调发展程度做出解析,借此对山东省金融发展与经济增长之间的协调发展关系做出全面判断。基于半参数可加模型,进一步从线性和非线性两个方面揭示两类二元系统的协调发展对三系统协调发展影响的时序变动规律。结果显示,无论是二系统耦合还是三系统耦合,各市均呈现稳定上升态势,但当前的系统耦合水平并不高;从空间差异看,半岛蓝色经济区与非半岛蓝色经济区的耦合水平差异不大;三系统的协调发展明显受到了其他两类二元系统协调发展的影响,且影响方式具有明显的线性特征。

Based on the panel data of 17 cities in Shandong province during 2001 to 2012, the coupling model was used to analyze the system coordinated development degree of financial main body--economic growth, financial environment-- economic growth and the financial main body--financial environment--economic growth. Out of the analysis, we want to make a comprehensively analysis on the relationship of coordinated development between financial development and economic growth in Shandong province. Based on the semi-parameter additive model, to reveal the temporal change rule of the effects from two kinds of binary system to three system in coordinated development from the aspects of linear and nonlinear. The results show that there is a steady upward trend in each city, whether it is two-system coupling or three-system coupling, but the current system coupling level is not high. At the same time, from the spatial difference, the difference of coupling level between the Peninsula Blue Economic Zone and the Non-Peninsula Blue Economic Zone is not obvious. Furthermore, the coordinated development of the three systems is obviously influenced by the coordinated development of the other two kinds of binary system, and the way is mainly embodied in the linear feature.