基于主成分回归分析的长治市城镇化影响因素研究

Research on the Influential Factors of New-type Urbanization based on the Principal Component Regression Analysis in Changzhi

本文通过分析新型城镇化的内涵,确定影响新型城镇化发展的七个因素,并以长治市为例构建新型城镇化影响因素的指标体系,运用主成分回归分析的方法,借助SPSS、EVIEWS统计软件,得出实证结果.结果表明:经济发展的驱动力不足,产业结构与就业结构之间存在偏离,基础设施投资不足,城乡居民人均收入水平偏低,金融机构的信贷支持力度不足是阻碍长治市新型城镇化发展的原因,并提出相应的对策.

By analysing the connotation of new-type urbanization and identifying the seven factors which influence the new-type urbanization,the influencing factor index system of new-type urbanization was constructed by taking Changzhi as an example. Using the method of Principal Component Regression Analysis（ PCRA） and the statistics software of SPSS and EVIEWS,a verified conclusion was obtained. Results showed that there were five reasons for discouraging the development of new-type urbanization in Changzhi,including a lack of the driving force for economic development,the disharmony between industrial structure and employment structure,a lack of infrastructure investment,the super low-level percapita income of urban-rural residents and a lack of powerful credit support from financial service agencies. Finally,corresponding countermeasures were put forward.