京沪高铁对沿线城市旅游业的差异性影响分析

Differential Impacts of Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway on Tourism Industry for Cities along the Line

高速铁路对旅游业的影响已成为当前学术界研究的热点问题。基于城市统计数据和列车运营数据,本文定量分析了京沪高铁开通对沿线城市旅游业发展的影响。研究结果表明:(1)在京沪高铁影响下,2010-2013年京沪沿线城市的可达性平均提升了54.50%。(2)京沪高铁开通所形成的交通可达性提升对于沿线城市旅游业发展产生了显著的促进作用。(3)在京沪高铁影响下,旅游专业化程度较低城市的可达性每提升1%,旅游客流约增加0.62%;旅游专业化程度较高城市的可达性每提升1%,旅游客流约增加0.47%。(4)京沪高铁对于旅游专业化程度不同的两组城市的影响存在差异。相比较而言,京沪沿线旅游专业化程度较低城市的旅游业,受京沪高铁的积极影响要更大一些。

The impact of high speed rail （HSR） on tourism industry has attracted increasing attention in tourism studies. By using city＇s statistical data and train operation data, this paper has quantitatively analyzed the impacts of the Beijing-Shanghai HSR on tourism industry for cities along the line. The results are shown as follows：Firstly, under the influence of the Beijing-Shanghai HSR, the accessibility for cities along the Beijing-Shanghai line has improved by 54.50% on average. Secondly, accessibility improvement caused by the implementation of Beijing-Shanghai HSR has played a significant role in promoting tourism development for cities along the line. Thirdly, under the influence of the Beijing-Shanghai HSR, for cities in the group of low degree of tourism specialization, accessibility improves by 1%, tourist flows improve around 0.62% ; for cities in the group of high degree of tourism specialization, accessibility improves by 1%, tourist flows improve around 0.47%. Fourthly, Beijing-Shanghai HSR has significantly differential impacts on cities in the two different groups with different degree of tourism specialization. In contrast, for cities in the group of low degree of tourism specialization, Beijing-Shanghai HSR has relatively larger impacts on their tourism industry.