中国体育用品制造业转型升级的影响因素研究——基于省(市)级面板数据的实证

Effect Factors of Transformation and Upgrading of Chinese Sports Goods Manufacturing Industry:Based on the Empirical Provincial( City) Level Panel Data

在理论分析的基础上,采用2008—2015年全国31个省市(自治区)的面板数据作为样本,选取研发创新水平、生产性服务业发展、外商投资规模与对外贸易作为解释变量,以体育用品制造业转型升级为被解释变量,探讨我国体育用品制造业转型升级的影响因素。结果发现:研发创新水平对体育用品制造业转型升级具有显著的促进作用,且该影响效果越来越明显;生产性服务业发展在体育用品制造业转型升级过程中也发挥了显著的积极作用;外商投资规模对体育用品制造业转型升级具有显著的正向影响,但此影响力存在削弱趋势;对外贸易能为体育用品制造业的转型升级带来一定的积极影响,但作用效果非常微弱。根据理论和实证分析结果,提出目前我国体育用品制造业应该逐步摆脱过度依赖外商投资和对外贸易的现状,加快提升研发创新能力,进一步夯实生产性服务业发展。

Based on the theoretical analysis,using panel data of the country ＇s 31 and cities provinces（ autonomous regions） from 2008 to 2015 as a sample,selecting the level of research and innovation,development of producer services,foreign investment and foreign trade as explanatory variables,transformation and upgrading of sports goods manufacturing industry as explanatory variables,this study focus on the factors affecting the transformation and upgrading of sports goods manufacturing industry. The results showthat the level of research and innovation has a significant role in the promoting of transformation and upgrading of sports goods manufacturing industry,and the effect is more and more obvious; the development of producer services also play a positive role in the process of transformation and upgrading of sports goods manufacturing industry; the scale of foreign investment has a significant positive effect on the transformation and upgrading of sports goods manufacturing industry,but the influence has a weakened trend; foreign trade can brings some positive effects to the transformation and upgrading of sports goods manufacturing industry,but the effect is very weak. According to the results of theoretical and empirical analysis,it puts forward that our sports goods manufacturing industry should gradually get rid of the current situation of excessive dependence on foreign investment and foreign trade,improve the ability of research and innovation and further consolidate the development of production service industry.