基于线性回归的甘肃省“十三五”时期GDP预测

GDP Forecasting of Gansu Province during the “13th Five-year Plan” Period Based on Linear Regression

以甘肃省1978—2015年GDP指数(1978年为100)和人均GDP指数为基础,运用一元线性回归方法建模,对"十三五"期间G甘肃省的GDP指数和人均GDP指数进行预测。结果显示,甘肃省1978—2015年GDP指数和人均GDP指数的预测值和真实值基本相符,"十三五"期间的预测值也与经济发展的趋势相吻合。

Based on the GDP index of Gansu province from 1978 to 2015 （100 in 1978） and the per capita GDP index, the GDP index and the per capita GDP index during the ＂13th Five year Plan＂ period were pre dicted by monadic linear regression method. The results show that the forecast and real value of the GDP and per capita GDP indices between 1978 and 2015 are basically the same, and the forecast value during the ＂13th Five-year Plan＂ period is also consistent with the trend of economic development.