新常态下河南省城镇居民消费结构升级趋势的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of the Upgrading Trend of Urban Residents' Consumption Structure in Henan under the New Normal

本文旨在定量说明新常态下河南省城镇居民消费结构的升级趋势。首先对城镇居民消费结构的特点进行了统计描述分析。其次,运用扩展的线性支出模型对居民的边际消费倾向进行了分析,结果显示食品支出、衣着支出等消费比重下降,医疗保健、交通通信等消费比重不断上升,这说明河南省城镇居民消费正处于由生存型向享受型和发展型转变的过程中。最后,对新常态下河南省城镇居民消费结构升级提出若干建议。

The purpose of this paper is to quantitatively explain the upgrading trend of urban residents’ consumption structure in Henan province under the new normal. First of all, the paper describes the characteristics of the consumption structure of urban residents.Secondly, the extended linear expenditure model is used to analyze the residents’ marginal consumption tendency. The results show that the share of food expenditure, clothing consumption expenditure, etc. is declining, the share of health care, transportation and communications consumption is rising, which demonstrates that the consumption of urban residents in Henan province is in the process of transformation from survival type to enjoyable type and development type. Finally, the paper puts forward some suggestions on the upgrading of the consumption structure of urban residents in Henan province under the new normal.