基于复合系统的中部六省经济结构协调性研究

通过运用熵值法及构建复合系统协调度模型,对2005-2015年中部六省和全国经济结构协调水平进行测算,在此基础上分析了中部六省经济结构协调性的动态演变过程。研究发现:中部六省的经济结构协调水平明显落后于全国平均水平,这种差距从2010年开始被进一步拉大;中部六省经济结构协调水平从2010年开始发生"二四分化",湖北、河南、安徽及湖南四省的领先优势逐渐明显;中部六省经济结构平均协调等级低于全国平均等级,湖北、湖南、河南勉强协调,安徽、山西、江西则濒临失调。最后,本文从优化经济结构入手,在构建现代服务业产业体系、建立并完善宏观调控体系、建立合理的工资增长机制、健全劳动力市场体系等方面提出相关政策建议。

By using entropy method and constructing coordination degree model of composite system, this paper calculates the economic structure coordination levels of the six provinces of Central China and the whole country from 2005 to 2015. Based on that, this paper analyzes the dynamic evolution process of the economic structure coordination of the six provinces of Central China. The study shows that the level of economic structure coordination of the six provinces is behind the national average level, and this gap has been widened since 2010. These provinces＂ economic structure coordination levels has begun to be ＂2-4 division＂ since 2010, that is, Hubei, Henan, Anhui and Hunan are at the leading edge gradually obviously; the average level of economic structure of the six provinces is lower than the national average, Hubei, Hunan and Henan are barely coordinated, and Anhui, Shanxi and Jiangxi are on the verge of disorder. Finally, starting from optimizing economic structure, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on the establishment of the modern service industry system, the establishment and improvement of the macro-control system, the establishment of a reasonable wage growth mechanism, and the improvement of the labor market system.