农村道路条件安全分析与评价研究

Safety analysis and evaluation of rural road conditions

为提高农村道路安全性能,促进农村道路交通安全发展,集成DEMATEL与ISM法对农村道路条件安全影响因素进行分析,构建农村道路条件影响因素多级递阶结构模型。采用多元平均法进行农村道路交通安全评价,对评价结果进行分类。分析得到农村道路安全问题最直接和根本的影响因素,通过算例验证评价方法可行性。分析与评价结果为减少农村道路事故发生和改善农村道路安全环境提供依据。

In order to improve the safety performance of rural road and promote development of rural road traffic safety, a method was proposed to analyze the influencing factors of rural road conditions based on the integration of DEMATEL and ISM, and a multi-level set-up structural model was established. The method of multivariate average was used to evaluate the rural road traffic safety, and the results was classified. The most direct and fundamental influecing factors of rural road safety can be found by analysis, and the feasibility of the evaluation method proposed is shown by an example. The research results can provide reference to reduce rural road accidents and to improve rural road safety environment.