摘要
S曲线法是判断技术生命周期的重要方法。详细推导了S曲线的Logistic模型中关于技术生命周期各阶段的分界点,并分析了3D打印四种工艺的技术生命周期。结果显示,四种工艺技术都未进入技术生命周期的成熟阶段,多数仍处于快速发展的成长期,技术发展空间很大。
S curve is an important judgment method of technology life cycle.This article deduced the dividing points between each stage of technology life cycle based on Logistic model,and took 3D printing as an example.The results indicate that most of the four techniques are in growth stage,so the technology developing space is large.
出处
《科技与经济》
2017年第2期91-95,共5页
Science & Technology and Economy
