江苏省入境旅游流的时空演变及影响因素分析

An Analysis of the Temporal-spatial Evolution of Inbound Tourist Flow of Jiangsu Province and its Influencing Factors

入境旅游是衡量一个地区旅游经济发展水平的重要指标。本文以2000~2012年江苏入境旅游人数和外汇收入数据为基础,运用定量方法、GIS软件等对江苏入境旅游流的时空演变过程及影响因素进行分析。研究发现：江苏入境旅游流及外汇收入稳步上升,2005年后江苏入境旅游经济逐渐走向成熟;在2000~2005年期间,港澳游客占据江苏的主要入境客流市场,2005年后外国游客成为江苏入境旅游市场的主角;入境旅游流流质不断提高,各市入境旅游流流质空间分布差异逐渐减小;江苏入境旅游流流量受民航客运量及经济社会发展影响较大;而交通线路长度及星级酒店对旅游流质量影响较大。

Inbound tourism is a significant indicator for judging regional ecotourism development. Based on relevant statistics of the population of inbound tourists and foreign exchange revenue from it during 2000 - 2012, this paper applied quantitative method and GIS software to make an in-depth analysis of the temporal-spatial evolution process of inbound tourist flow in Jiangsu province and its influencing factors. Some important conclusions are： inbound tourist flow and foreign exchange revenue of Jiangsu province take a steady increase in recent years, especially since 2005, and the inbound tourism economy of it has gradually matured ; during 2000 - 2005, Hong Kong and Macao are the main source regions of tourists for Jiangsu, while since 2005, tourists from other countries have taken the lead; the social and economic development, and civil aviation passenger volume play important roles in the evolution of the volume of inbound tourism flow ; the traffic link length and numbers of star hotel has great influence on the quality of tourist flow.