摘要
基于2007—2014年江阴市工业能源消费和碳排放数据,运用对数平均权重分解法(LMDI)构建江阴市工业经济能耗碳排放因素分解模型,分析能源排放强度、能源结构、能源强度、产出规模和人口规模等因素对该市工业能源消费碳排放增量的驱动效应。研究结果表明:1)2007—2014年江阴市工业能耗碳排放量同工业总产值呈弱脱钩状态,工业能耗碳减排仍有较大的提升空间;2)产出规模仍是促进该市工业能耗碳排放增长的首要因素,能源结构和人口规模对江阴市工业碳排放量增长也起到了较大的促进作用,能源强度对江阴市工业碳排放增长起抑制作用。
This paper, according to Jiangyin＇s industrial energy consumption and carbon dioxide emission data 2007-- 2014, uses LMDI to establish a decomposition model of Jiangyin＇s carbon dioxide emission factors of industrial energy consumption, which is employed to analyze their driving effects of carbon dioxide emission increment of industrial energy consumption from energy emission intensity, energy structure, energy intensity, production scale and population. The results show a weak linkage of industrial energy consumption carbon dioxide emission to gross industrial output in 2007 to 2014, meaning a potential to reduce industrial energy consumption carbon dioxide emission. Energy production output scale serves as the leading factor in contributing the industrial energy consumption dioxide emission increment, so do the energy structure and population, but energy intensity impedes its increment.
作者
崔凯璇
王仲智
CUI Kai-xuan WANG Zhong-zhi(School of Geographical Surveying and Planning, Jiangsu Normal University, Xuzhou 221116, China)
出处
《资源与产业》
2017年第2期89-95,共7页
Resources & Industries
关键词
碳排放
LMDI
工业能源消费
江阴市
carbon dioxide emission
LMDI
industrial energy consumption
Jiangyin city
