基于SDA模型的福建省产业结构演化及动因分析

An analysis of Fujian's industrial structural changes and the driving factors based on SDA method

基于SDA经济增长因素模型,利用1997-2012年福建省投入产出表分析福建省产业结构演化及其原因。研究表明:工业已经成为福建省经济发展的主体,工业内部结构由轻型化向重型化转变,服务业发展比重偏低;1997-2002年,出口扩张是驱动福建省产业发展的主要因素;2002-2007年,福建省产业发展的主要动力来自技术进步;2007-2012年,省内需求是驱动福建省产业发展的首要因素。应从现代产业体系构建、自主创新、产业合作以及人才培养等方面实现福建省产业结构的调整和优化。

Using the input-output data of Fujian’s industry from 1997 to 2012,this paper analyzes the industrial changes and their causes based on SDA method.Several results are drawn as follows.Firstly,industry has become the main body of economic development in Fujian.The internal structure of the industry has been changed from the light to the heavy.And service industry shows low proportion.Secondly,export expansion was the main factor driving the industrial development of Fujian from 1997 to 2002.Thirdly,the main driving force for industrial development came from technological progress from 2002 to 2007.Lastly,demand in the province was the primary factor prompting the industrial development of Fujian from 2007 to 2012.This paper puts forward some effective strategies,which include modern industrial system construction,independent innovation,industrial cooperation and personnel training,to adjust and optimize Fujian’s industrial structure.