G20:经济全球化的政治对冲机制及其前景

G20:Political Hedging Mechanism of Economic Globalization and Its Future Prospects

经济全球化的后果有正面的,也有负面的。全球化的逻辑决定了对付全球性的问题必须有一个全球性的政治解决方案。一个统领全球的世界政府的存在可能是这种解决方案的最高哲学境界,但它在现实生活中是不存在也不可能存在的美好乌托邦。然而,建立一个经济全球化的全球对冲机制是可能的。尤其是2008年次贷危机以来的经验表明,各国单枪匹马对应全球化背景下增长乏力的挑战是不现实的。只有抱团取暖、协调发展才能走出一条康庄大道。而能承担如此重任的全球性机制目前似乎只有G20这一框架。2016年二十国集团杭州首脑峰会的运作模式和联合磋商机制证明,这个设想不仅现实,而且已经为未来的包容性全球发展进而更加有效地对冲全球化负面影响打下了一定的基础。

Globalization has been considered as a market process, in which locally operating companies begin to expand with not only their products but also their production into diverse geographically, culturally and historically organized territories and, therefore, flatten differences around the world. Its impacts on the affected nations and societies, however, can be both positive and negative. Based on the observation of intergovernmental cooperation of the member states in the frameworks of the Hangzhou Summit 2016, this article discusses the potential of the G20 as a political mechanism to manage and reduce the negative impacts of globalization in a coordinated way, and attempts to outline the prospects of G20 as a “world economic government” hedged against political risks of globalization.