南海争端视域下的中越海洋合作

The Maritime Cooperation between China and Vietnam from the Perspective of the South China Sea Disputes

中越两国的海洋合作有着坚实的政治、法律基础,但在南海争端的影响下,两国合作明显受到掣肘,尤其是在高敏度领域进展缓慢。从前景来看,中方的顶层设计、越南对开展海洋合作的客观需求、越南高层的人事变动或为未来的中越南海合作带来难得的合作机遇;但合作同时面临南海争端久拖未决、域外势力介入、越方的防范心理严重等不利因素的干扰。菲律宾新总统杜特尔特上台后,南海局势总体开始缓和,但中越之间的南海争端仍未有松动迹象。未来,中越海洋合作可在继续推动中国—东盟合作的前提下,努力消除外部势力的干扰,以政治互信和经济互动带动两国海洋全面合作,或可成为化解中越南海争端的突破口。

The maritime cooperation between China and Vietnam not only have solid bilateral foundations, but also have regional cooperation and international legal bases, it suffers from holdbacks from the impact of the South China Sea disputes, as especially seen in the slow development in the high sensitive areas. From the future perspective, China's design from the top, the real needs for Vietnam to engage in maritime cooperation and the top-level personnel changes in Vietnam would bring a rare opportunity for China-Vietnam maritime cooperation, while the cooperation would also continue to be disturbed by such unfavorable factors as the long unresolved South China Sea disputes, the interference from outside of the region and the serious alert kept by Vietnam. Since the new Philippine president Duterte came to office, the Sino-Philippine relationship has undergone dramatic changes with the general situation in the South China Sea easing up, while the dispute between China and Vietnam over the South China Sea has no sign of easing. The future China-Vietnam maritime cooperation may be boostedby continuing to promote China-ASEAN cooperation, making joint efforts to get rid of outside interferences, further developing the Sino-Vietnam bilateral relationship, making reasonable planning, deepening mutual trust and economic interaction, and making the best use of the situation, which may serve as a breakthrough for China and Vietnam to resolve their dispute over the South China Sea.