中原经济区物流系统建模与仿真研究

Research on Modeling and Simulation of Logistics' System in Zhongyuan Economic Zone

通过分析中原经济区物流发展过程中存在的问题和发展趋势,从物流供需角度分析了区域物流系统的构成要素,基于系统动力学方法界定了系统边界,明晰了系统内部各种要素和影响因子间的因果关系,并应用ANYLOGIC仿真软件构建了中原经济区物流系统仿真模型,通过仿真模拟结果发现该区域现阶段物流发展依旧供给不足,并通过政策模拟探寻出提升区域物流供给能力的可能途径,提出了相应的建议。

In this paper, the problems and trend in the process of logistics developing in the central plains economic zone were analyzed. The components of regional logistics system were studied from the angle of logistics supply and demand. Based on system dynamics method, the boundaries of the system were defined ; the article analyzed the relationship between various elements and influence factors clearly. By Anylogic simulation software, logistics system simulation model was been built. The simulation results showed that the regional logistics development is still insufficient supply at present stage. Through the policy simulation, the paper found possible ways to improve logistics supply capacity, and related suggestions were put forward.