2016年世界炼油行业发展状况与趋势

World refining industry in 2016 and the development trend

2016年,世界炼油能力继续缓慢增长,总炼油能力达到约48.7亿吨/年;原油加工量略低于上年的水平;炼油毛利较上年出现不同程度下滑。世界各主要地区炼油业发展形势各异,北美地区炼油投资从建设新装置转向现有炼厂改造,欧洲炼油业重陷困境,而"一带一路"沿线新兴经济体国家继续推动炼油项目建设。2017年,世界炼油能力仍将缓慢增长,总能力达到48.9亿吨/年;全球炼油毛利预期将低于2016年的水平。未来5年世界炼油能力继续增长,受燃油经济性提升和替代燃料的影响,全球油品需求增速将明显放缓,将导致更低的炼厂开工率和新一轮的调整或关闭。

In 2016, world refining capacity increased slowly and reached 4,870 million tons per year. Crude processing volume was lowered slightly and refining margins decreased by different degrees. The main areas in the world are under the different development situation of refining industries. In North America, refining investment changed from building new unit to upgrade old ones; in Europe, refining industry fell into difficulty again; refining industries in the countries along the ＂One Belt and One Road＂ continued to promote oil refining projects. In 2017, world refining capacity will continue to increase slowly and reach 4,890 million tons per year; global refining margin will be lower than 2016; world refining capacity will increase in the next 5 years. Affected by the increased fuel economy and alternative fuels, global oil demand growth will slow down significantly, which will make the refinery operation rate lower and result in a new round adjustment or shutting