河北省高等教育发展对经济增长的长、短期效应影响

The Development of Higher Education of Long and Short-term Effect on Economic Growth in Hebei Province

运用ECM、ADL模型对河北省1978—2014年经济发展与高等教育发展之间的关系进行定量研究。结果表明:高等教育与经济增长之间存在长期的动态均衡关联,而且在10%的显著水平下双向的格兰杰因果关系存在;从长期效应上来看,高等教育的发展对于经济增长的促进力度明显,而从短期效应上来看,经济增长对于高等教育的促进力度要更加明显。河北省应加强高等教育发展与经济增长之间良性循环步伐,加快科学技术作为第一生产力发展经济,实现经济发展的现代化。

This paper studys the relationship between the development of higher education and economic growth of hebei province based on the model of ECM and ADL in 1978-2014. The results show that： There exits the long-term dynamic equilibrium relation between higher education and economic growth, and also exits two-way granger causality under the 10% significant level. On the long-term effects, the development of higher education for the efforts in promoting the economic growth is obvious, and on the short-term effects, higher education efforts in promoting economic growth will be more obvious. At last, this paper puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations for the government department reference based on the empirical results.