我国区域技术创新与新一代信息技术产业协调发展的动态演进研究

Coordinated Development Between Regional Technical Innovation and the New Generation of IT Industry in China

区域技术创新是新一代信息技术产业发展的重要推动力之一,研究两者的协调关系及时空演变特征,对探讨如何促进技术创新,加快产业发展具有重要意义。在构建综合评价指标体系基础上,利用全局时序主成分分析法对我国八大经济区(2004-2013年)技术创新能力与新一代信息技术产业发展水平进行系统分析,借助Geo Da空间分析软件和协调度评价模型对两者的协调发展关系、时空演变特征进行实证研究。结果表明:1我国区域技术创新能力与新一代信息技术产业发展水平呈上升趋势,两者的高水平区集中在沿海地区,呈线状分布。自东向西即从东南沿海到西北内陆呈阶梯型递减趋势;2我国区域技术创新能力与新一代信息技术产业发展的协调性不断加强,高协调度区域主要分布在沿海和沿江地区;3高协调度区域由点状逐渐扩展为线状和面状。三大沿海地区及长江中游各省份协调度增长幅度较大,而黄河中游、大西南、大西北和东北地区也有所增长。

Regional technological innovation is one of the important driving forces for the development of the new generation of information technology industry. It is of great significance to study how to promote the technical innovation and accelerate the in- dustrial development by studying the coordination relationship between technological innovation and new IT industries, as well as their characteristics of the space - time evolution. On the basis of constructing the comprehensive evaluation index system, this paper made use of the global time series principal component analysis to systematically analyze the technological innovation capabil- ity and the new information technology industry development level of the eight economic zones in China （2004 - 2013）. With Geo- Da spatial analysis software and coordination degree evaluation model, an empirical study was given. The result showed： （i） China＇s regional technological innovation capacity and the developaaent level of the new generation information technology industry were on the rise, while both high- level areas concentrated in the coastal areas, showing linear distribution. From the southeast coast to the northwest inland there was a ladder- type decline trend; （~）The coordirmtion between China＇s regional technological innovation ability and the development level of the new generation information technology industry continued to strengthen. And the area with high coordination mainly distributed in the coastal areas and areas along the Yangtze River; （~）The region with high coor- dination degree gradually expanded from point to line and plane. The growths of coordination degree in three major coastal areas and the middle reaches of the Yangtze River provinces was great, while the coordination degree in the middle reaches of the Yellow River, southwest, northwest and northeast regions also increased.