世界经济发展新态势与“一带一路”建设

New Developments of World Economy and the Construction of One Belt One Road

世界经济在过去近十年的复苏进程中,展现了结构深度调整、格局持续变化、反全球化力量空前高涨、全球经济治理艰难转型的新态势。在这种背景下,中国提出的"一带一路"倡议恰逢其时:一方面,推进国际产能合作将助推新一轮全球产业转移,另一方面,推进互联互通合作将塑造亚欧经贸大格局。值此"一带一路"国际合作高峰论坛召开之际,如何讲好"一带一路"故事,占领"一带一路"建设的话语权和制高点,是中国必须首先考虑的问题。本文认为"一带一路"建设必须在两大时代议题的引领下稳步推进:一是共同应对第四次工业革命,二是努力践行新型全球化。只要在这两个议题上取得广泛共识,推进"一带一路"建设一定能势如破竹。

During the recovery process of the past decade, world economy has witnessed new developments such as profound adjustment of structure, continuous change of pat tern, unprecedented increase of force a-gainst globalization and arduous shift of governance. One Belt One Road （OBOR） Initiative proposed by China has demonstrated great significance in this context. On the one h an d, promoting international cooper-ation on productive capacity will help accelerate a new round of global industrial transfer. On the other hand, increasing connectivity will enhance shaping overall pattern of the Asian-European economy and trade. At this moment when the Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation is to be held in Beijing, what China needs to consider first is how to tell the story of the OBOR and make the logic underpinning heard and accepted. This article identifies two major topics which may guide the construction of One Belt One Road： one is to confront the fourth industrial revolution together, and the other is to carry out a new type of globalization. Only when broad consensus has been reached on these two crucial issues, will the con-struction of One Belt One Road be successfully achieved.