土地、住房与农民工市民化——基于流动人口动态监测数据的实证分析

Land, Housing and Citizenization of Rural Migrant Workers:Based on Dynamic Monitoring Data of Floating Population

基于2014年流动人口动态监测调查数据,采用Logistic回归分析的方法 ,实证分析了嘉兴农村土地和住房禀赋及农村土地流转制度改革对农民工市民化意愿的影响。结果表明,家乡土地面积对市民化意愿产生显著的负影响,而住房面积与市民化意愿存在U型关系,即起初家乡住房面积对农民工市民化具有负向影响,但是面积的进一步增加,却能提升农民工市民化意愿。农村土地流转制度改革能够有效降低土地对农民工市民化意愿的负面影响。这表明,进一步加快和加大农村土地流转制度改革,进一步将农民工纳入城市住房制度,是促进我国农民工市民化和城镇化的重要制度手段。

Based on dynamic monitoring data of floating population in Jiaxing, 2014, using Logitistic regression analysis, this paper empirically analyzes the impact of rural land, housing endowment and rural land system on the willingness to be urban citizens. Results show that rural land area possess a significant negative impact on migrant workers＇ citizenization, while the relationship between housing area and citizenization shows a U-shaped pattern, i.e. at first, housing area possess a negative impact on the citizenizatiorr, when this area increase into a enough high extent, this dependent varible will begin to enhancing migrant workers＇ citizenization willingess. What＇s more, the reforms of rural land transfer system are able to effectively relief the negative impact of land on migrant workers＇ citizenization willingess. The results suggest that we should further accelerate and deepen the reform of rural land tranfer system, further take migrant workers into the urban housing system, which are significant for promoting peasant workers citizenization.