摘要
从传统生产要素、制度、金融和经济结构等四个方面选取了19个影响中国经济增长的变量,运用稳健稀疏主成分方法进行实证分析。结果表明物质资本、城镇化率、金融深度、城镇居民消费结构、基尼系数、技术水平已成为促进中国经济增长的主要动力,但东、中、西部经济增长的主要影响因素互不相同。在此基础上就如何进一步促进中国经济增长和区域经济均衡发展提出了若干政策建议。
We select 19 indicators from the traditional production factors, institution, finance, economic structure, and use the robust sparse principal component to analyze the economic growth. The results show that the main factors of promoting China's economic growth are capital, the degree of urbanization, financial depth, the consumption structure of urban residents, Gini coefficient and technology, and the impact factors of economic growth from the eastern, central and western regions are different . We put forward some suggestions to promote economic growth and balanced development of regional economic.
出处
《统计与信息论坛》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第3期49-55,共7页
Journal of Statistics and Information
基金
国家社会科学基金资助项目<复杂数据建模中组合预测方法及应用研究>(12BTJ014)
关键词
经济增长
稳健稀疏主成分
影响因素
economic growth
robust sparse principal components
impact factors