基于联立方程模型的陕西省城镇化与服务业的互动关系研究

Research on the relationship between the interaction of urbanization and service industry of Shaanxi province based on the simultaneous equations model

为了全面了解并深入分析陕西省城镇化与服务业的互动关系,促进二者的协同发展,以陕西省2004—2016年的时间序列数据为样本,通过构建联立方程模型,将城镇化与服务业作为内生变量,选取经济发展水平、工业化水平、基础设施建设状况、教育水平、消费水平和专业化程度等因素作为外生变量,采用三阶段最小二乘法(3SLS)对陕西省城镇化与服务业的互动关系进行分析,最后提出相应的政策建议.

A simultaneaits equation model is established to analyze the interachive relationship between urbanigation and service industry of shaanxi Proviuce so to achieve a coordinate development in both spheres. The facfors such as economic development,industrializationg,infrastructure construction, education,consumption and specialigationg are taken as exogenous variables. And the time series data of the province from 2004 to 2016 in both urbanization and service industry were also faken as eogenous varibles. A 3-stage least square（3 SLS）method was used. Corresponding suggestions were put forward for policy making.