印度经济改革以来的菲利普斯曲线实证研究及启示

An Empirical Study Of India Phillips Curve for India since Economic Reform and Its Enlightenment

菲利普斯曲线是分析宏观经济变量之间关系的一个重要工具,并可以表现出经济运行的特征和规律。实证分析结果表明,经典形态的菲利普斯曲线在印度并不存在,原因可能是印度并不满足菲利普斯曲线理论成立的前提条件和印度自身的一些特殊原因所至。本文结合印度经济发展实际,通过引入经济增长率和劳动参与率作为新的解释变量,得出了拟合程度较高的计量模型。最后还给出几点对中国的启示。

Phillips curve is a useful tool for analyzing the relationship between macroeconomic variables, and it shows the characteristics and laws of economic operation. The empirical analysis shows that the classic Phillips curve in India does not exist, Reason may be that India does not meet the Phillips curve theory prerequisite for the establishment and Indian own special reasons, In this paper, combined with the actual development of the Indian economy by introducing economic growth and labor participation as a new explanatory variables, obtained a high degree of fitting measurement model, and finally gives some enlightenment to China.